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The Oscars - What Will Win and What Should Win

 

The 91st Academy Awards feels like it’s had more build-up than any of other Oscars ceremony for a long time. The controversy has been almost ceaseless, and certainly beyond the natural excitement for one of the most beloved annual celebrations of cinema. From the announcement and denouncement of the new ‘Best Popular Film’ category, to the picking up and dropping of host Kevin Hart due to his unsavoury comments from years ago. As it stands, this will be the first Oscars ceremony to have no singular host since 1989, and it was ok...right? (See Rob Lowe dancing with Snow White and you’ll realise that it wasn’t ok). And of course, there was the ‘chasing viewers’ controversy over this years awards, when the academy announced that they’d be giving out the awards for Best Cinematography and Best Editing in the ad breaks. After many film makers voiced their disdain, stating that these are the very fabric of the art form, the academy reversed this decision. It’s amazing how much one event can court so much controversy and it’s a sign of how much the Oscars actually means to people. On to the awards themselves then... 

 

Leading the way with 10 nominations each are Roma and The Favourite. While they are both very different in their subject matters, they do have a lot in common. Both have strong female protagonists in a world of treacherous men. Both films are made by non-Americans (the Mexican Alfonso Cuaron and the Greek Yorgos Lanthimos) and both have an interest in class politics and the dangers of sex when it is self-centred and not driven by a deep love. Should either of these films win Best Picture this Sunday, the triumphant power of these films would resonate in the film world. Not only would these films be groundbreaking in the unconventionality of their subject matter, but should the incredible Roma win, it would mark the first for a film in a foreign language and a first major Oscar win for streaming giants Netflix. How this would affect the future of cinema, however, is another matter. Among the nominees for the biggest prizes are films that appeal to casual film watchers. They’re fine in their own right, but frankly, they should be nowhere near the biggest prizes nor celebrated as touchstones (Bohemian Rhapsody and Green Book, I’m looking at you). This year, it feels as though the Academy can take huge strides in awarding bold, brave stories about equality and humility. Films that show us the power of love and the dangers of loneliness. Films that discuss mental health issues in a healthy way. Should A Star is Born, Roma, The Wife, or BlacKkKlansman win, it could inspire studios to create more stories that genuinely have the power to change the world in which we live. After recent wins for Spotlight, Moonlight and The Shape of Water, all films that have stories that we needed. Films that were relevant to the world. Films that inspired us to look after each other, to reach out to the outsiders, the downtrodden. To hold those in power to account. The precipice on which this year’s awards sits is tense. Do the right thing, Academy. Award the films that show the best of us. Show us why these awards truly matter. 

 

Below I’ve listed my predictions, what I’d vote for and what’s been overlooked by the Academy in not being nominated, where applicable. 

 

Best Makeup & Hairstyling

Will win: The Favourite

Should win: The Favourite 

 

Best Sound Editing

Will win: First Man

Should win: A Quiet Place

Overlooked: Mandy

 

Best Production Design

Will win: Mary Poppins Returns

Should win: First Man

Overlooked: Outlaw King

 

Best Film Editing

Will win: Vice

Should win: Vice

Overlooked: Ready Player One

 

Best Costume Design

Will win: The Favourite

Should win: The Favourite 

 

Best Visual Effects

Will win: Ready Player One

Should win: Ready Player One

Overlooked: Annihilation

 

Best Sound Mixing

Will win: A Star is Born

Should win: A Star is Born

Overlooked: Leave No Trace

 

Best Original Music Score

Will win: Nicholas Britell (If Beale Street Could Talk)

Should win: Nicholas Britell (If Beale Street Could Talk)

Overlooked: Justin Hurwitz (First Man)

 

Best Original Song 

Will win: Shallow (A Star Is Born)

Should win: Shallow (A Star Is Born)

Overlooked: Catchy Song (Lego Movie 2)

 

Best Cinematography 

Will win: Roma

Should win: Roma

Overlooked: Mission: Impossible - Fallout

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

Will win: BlacKkKlansman

Should win: If Beale Street Could Talk

 

Best Original Screenplay

Will win: The Favourite 

Should win: The Favourite 

Overlooked: Peterloo

 

Best Documentary

Will win: Free Solo

Should win: Free Solo

Overlooked: They Shall Not Grow Old

 

Best Foreign Language Film

Will win: Roma

Should win: Shoplifters

Overlooked: Burning

 

Best Director

Will win: Alfonso Cuaron (Roma)

Should win: Alfonso Cuaron (Roma)

Overlooked: Bradley Cooper (A Star is Born)

 

Best Animated Feature

Will win: Spider-Man: Into the Spider-verse 

Should win: Mirai

Overlooked: Early Man

 

Best Supporting Actress

Will win: Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)

Should win: Regina King (If Beale Street Could Talk)

Overlooked: Florence Pugh (Outlaw King)

 

Best Supporting Actor

Will win: Mahershala Ali (Green Book)

Should win: Sam Elliott (A Star is Born)

Overlooked: John C.Reilly (Stan & Ollie)

 

Best Leading Actress

Will win: Glenn Close (The Wife)

Should win: Olivia Colman (The Favourite)

 

Best Leading Actor

Will win: Rami Malek (Bohemian Rhapsody)

Should win: Bradley Cooper (A Star Is Born)

Overlooked: Ethan Hawke (First Reformed)

 

Best Picture

Will win: Roma

Should win: Roma

Overlooked: Mission: Impossible - Fallout 

 

 

 

Written by Dave Howarth

 

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